Two guys returning from injury recently with quite different results, one we want to back in and the other we suggest fading. Meanwhile the Heat big man has become a distributor.
Best Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Boston Celtics (11:30am)
Five games back and he is not reinjured yet, somewhat of a miracle. All jokes aside he has played well in his return and is averaging 20.6 points per game over the course. His minutes are trending up and are now hopefully ticking into 30+. Kristaps should be well rested, Boston haven’t played in five days which in NBA terms is an extended break.
Backing Centres against Detroit has become a favourite of the NBA Betseeker fraternity and here we are, going back to the well. Centres are averaging an 18% increase in points production against the Pistons. Boston played Detroit only a week ago where KP dropped 26. He has taken 17 field goal attempts on each of his last three games, and I expect the same if not more here.
SGM – Porzingis 20+ Points/ Brown 20+ Points/ Cunningham 6+ Rebounds = $4.00
Next Best
Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans (12:00pm)
Not setting the world alight this season, whether the recently fractured left hand is still bothering is yet to be seen. Only averaging 15.9 points per game this season and remains inefficient at just 33.6% field goal shooting.
He is a better player than the stats are showing currently, but until he proves me wrong, I am happy to go Unders. He is struggling from distance shooting just 25.5% this season and going 1 from 7 in his last game. A tough defensive opponent here in Sacramento won’t help him dig out of this slump.
SGM – Murray Under 21.5 Points/ DeRozan 20+ Points/ Monk 4+ Rebounds = $4.75
Value Bet
Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat (11:30am)
Not usually known for his passing but the recent form is hard to ignore. Averaging 5.2 assist per game for the season, he has grown that to 7.6 over his last 7 games.
The Heat will take on the Raptors who have just lost their best player Scottie Barnes to a right ankle sprain. The Heat have already played Toronto twice this season and Bam managed 7 and 10 assists. The game in late November, he ended with a triple double. An enormous 24% assist increase against Toronto should help us here. If the likes of Herro and Butler can stay hot, we are a chance.
SGM – Adebayo 6+ Assists/ Heat Win/ Dick 15+ Points = $4.00
Friday NBA Multi
Heat/ Celtics/ Kings
$1.87
