NBA Playoffs Tips – Warriors @ Mavericks Predictions – Game 4

Kevon Looney - NBA Tips

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Dallas faces the unenviable task of having to claw their way back from a 3-0 series deficit. Can they force Game 5?

Tune in from 11:00am for Golden State v Dallas on Kayo.

Best Bet

Kevon Looney Over 9.5

Kevon Looney continues to hurt the Mavericks in this series and Jason Kidd knows it.

Looney has reeled in at least 10 boards in two of the three games this series and has now had back-to-back 12 rebound efforts.

Dallas’ lack of size has seen them surrender 40 rebounds per game so far this postseason, that number has them 13th among all playoff teams.

Unless the Mavericks completely shoot the lights out, I can’t see them keeping Looney off the glass enough to keep him under this number.

Next Bet

Dallas -0.5
1st Quarter Line

If Dallas are going to force a Game 5 they are going to have to start this game well and keep the crowd involved – easier said than done.

Golden State are clearly the more well-rounded team here and a +14.2 net rating in this series illustrates how dominant they’ve been.

Dallas, on the other hand, are so reliant on the deep ball that their chance of winning a game without strong performances from behind the line is slim to none.

That said, this game could well present a case of the dam wall being ready to burst. The Mavericks are shooting 33 per cent from deep this series, which is well down on their post-season average.

Luka and company will be keen to respond after a tough loss in Game 3 and if they can find their rhythm early, I expect them to edge ahead before the Warriors begin to peg them back.

Same Game Multi

Jalen Brunson 4+ Rebounds / Kevon Looney 9+ Rebounds / Luka Doncic 2+ Steals = $4.44

Jalen Brunson hasn’t been as effective offensively in this series thus far but he has continued to reel in the boards. Brunson has now amassed four or more rebounds in eight of his last 10. Looney should continue to make his presence felt on both the offensive and defensive glass and nine rebounds looks very achievable in a series that he’s averaging almost 10 per game in.

As for Luka, back-to-back 40 point games mean nothing in the playoffs without the win and we can expect to see him locked in defensively as Dallas looks to avoid the sweep on Wednesday. Doncic has had two or more steals in more than half of his 14 post-season games and the value is there for him to do it again in Game 4.

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Fraser is a sports and betting guru who concentrates on NBA, tennis and AFL at Betseeker.