NBA Playoffs Tips – Warriors @ Mavericks Predictions – Game 3

Draymond Green - NBA Tips

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Dallas blew a huge opportunity to square the series with the Warriors in Game 2, will they learn from their second half fade-out when they head home for Game 3?

Tune in from 11:00am for Golden State v Dallas on Kayo.

Best Bet

Draymond Green Under 21.5

This could be a controversial take but an adjustment I could see Steve Kerr making is limiting Draymond Green’s minutes for the remainder of this series.

What Kevon Looney has been doing means there’s less reliance on Draymond playing the undersized five-spot, with Looney’s ability to get to receiver spots off the Golden State penetration vital to their Game 2 victory.

Green had a plus-minus of -19 in Game 2 despite the Warriors winning by 20 points, fouling out with 6 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists and 4 turnovers. There’s real match-up for Draymond aside from switching on to Luka on the odd occasion, and scoring for the Warriors was made much easier when they played Wiggins as power forward with a Steph, Klay, and Jordan Poole backcourt combination.

Even when Draymond scored double digits in Game 1 he didn’t cover the 22.5 PRA – can’t see him doing it on Dallas’ home court in an anticipated drop in minutes.

Value Bet

Dallas 1-10

When down 2-0 in their series with Phoenix, the Mavericks won the next two games on their home floor by between 1-10 points.

In the first half Dallas showed what they’re capable of against the Warriors putting 72 points in the first half damaging from outside, but some adjustments from Golden State along with the Mavericks going cold saw the Warriors overrun them in the second half.

Returning back to Dallas for their first home game of the series, expect Jason Kidd and his men to learn from the errors in the second half of Game 2, and along with some adjustments on the defensive end to limit Steph Curry’s impact which should see them take the series to 2-1 with a tight win.

Same Game Multi

Jordan Poole 15+ Points / Andrew Wiggins 15+ Points / Luka Doncic 8+ Assists = $4.00

Jordan Poole was the difference in Game 2, and even though I thought his role would be reduced with the Warriors going a bit bigger, it appears Draymond may be the Warrior whose role is reduced.

Once again the old trusty 15+ points for Andrew Wiggins. Playing with great confidence this post-season and has scored 15+ in 7 of his last 8 games.

If the Mavericks are to secure their first win this series, it’s off the back of Luka playing a key role as distributor. Averaged over 9 assists when playing on his home floor in the Phoenix series, and should record close to a triple-double in Game 3.

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Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.