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The 76ers have their hands full in Game 2 without Joel Embiid suiting up – expect Bam Adebayo to take full advantage in what should be an easy home win for the Heat.
Mavericks @ Suns (12:00pm)
Cam Johnson Over 13.5 PR ($1.79)
His role within this Phoenix team is somewhat undervalued outside of the four walls at Phoenix but expect Cam Johnson to split minutes with Jae Crowder in the four-spot and stretch the Dallas defence.
It’s quite a low PR line for Johnson – in his last 12 games since returning from a quad injury Johnson has covered the 13.5 PR line in nine of those games, averaging 11.2 points and 4.3 rebounds. But what he was doing for the Suns from December 2021 until his injury on March 4 was quite significant.
Johnson averaged 15 points and 4.6 rebounds from 39 games during that stretch, covering the 13.5 PR line in 32 of those games – that’s an 82% coverage rate. He was doing this in 28 minutes per game, and based on his Game 1 output we should see a similar minutes output off the back of 17 points and 5 rebounds.
No issues with Johnson covering the 13.5 PR line against the Mavericks in Game 2, with 15+ point paying $4.20 along with 3+ triples paying $3.20 outstanding value.
Same Game Multi
Cam Johnson 10+ Points
Chris Paul 15+ Points
Deandre Ayton 10+ Rebounds
76ers @ Heat (9:30am)
Bam Adebayo 20+ Points ($1.91)
Between Paul Reed, Deandre Jordan and Tobias Harris, there’s no one that can guard Bam Adebayo. The Heat Centre had 24 points and 12 rebounds in Game 1, with his +/- at +26 for the game, in a 14-point victory it indicates that the Heat were -12 in the 14 minutes Bam wasn’t on the floor.
In Bam’s last two games against the 76ers when they’re without Joel Embiid, he’s had 20+ points on both occasions with 22 points in their contest with Philadelphia on March 21.
With Philadelphia trading back-up Centre Andre Drummond as part of the James Harden deal, this has left a gaping hole in the 76ers big man stocks. In what will likely be a low-scoring contest with plenty of guard play, Adebayo is the outlier in this series until Embiid returns and should continue to post 20+ points as the only dominant big in the series.
Same Game Multi
Bam Adebayo Over 17.5 Points
Tobias Harris 15+ Points