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It’s been an incredible playoff series between the Bucks and the Celtics, and although all attention has been on the Tatum v Giannis match-up, Jrue Holiday has had a big series in Khris Middleton’s absence.
Best Bet
Celtics @ Bucks (9:30am)
Jrue Holiday Over 33.5 PRA ($1.79)
Even if the Celtics force a Game 7, the sheer shot attempts and usage for Jrue Holiday will see him cover his PRA line of 33.5.
Averaging a PRA of 35.2 this series which includes 7 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, Jrue’s big opportunity is to improve on his points numbers despite already averaging 21.8 per game this series.
Holiday is ranked 4th of all teams in the second round of the playoffs for field goal attempts per game averaging 23.2 – ahead of the likes of Tatum, Butler and Curry. His percentages have been poor though shooting the ball at 34.5%, but there was some improvement in Game 5 where Holiday recorded a PRA of 40.
In terms of usage rate, Holiday is ranked 7th of players in the second-round of the playoffs with a usage of 29 – slightly behind Booker, Butler and Tatum. With no clear third-string scoring option for the Bucks, Holiday will continue to get them up and as a result should have no problems covering the 33.5 PRA.
Same Game Multi
Boston +1.5
Jrue Holiday 20+ Points
Jrue Holiday 6+ Assists
$4.50
Next Best
Grizzlies @ Warriors (12:00pm)
Draymond Green 8+ Rebounds ($1.78)
Been an unusual series from Draymond Green, but we should see his minutes increase for Game 6 with the Warriors attempting to advance to the Western Conference Finals.
Game 1 Draymond played 17 minutes before being ejected, only played 26 minutes in a Game 3 blowout and then 22 minutes in a Game 5 blowout. The other two games this series where Draymond has played 30+ minutes, he’s had double figure rebounds numbers.
Per 36 minutes this series, Draymond is averaging 10.1 rebounds and in the last two games he’s recorded 11 rebounds in 32 minutes in Game 4 followed by 7 rebounds in 22 minutes in Game 5, nearly covering his 7.5 rebound line in less than half a game.
With Golden State looking to close this series coming off the embarrassment of Game 5, we should expect to see Draymond show up playing predominantly the five-spot with 10+ rebounds paying $2.75 great value.
Same Game Multi
Jaren Jackson Jr 15+ Points
Draymond Green 8+ Rebounds
Dillon Brooks 4+ Assists
$4.00
NBA Multi
Celtics +1.5 / Memphis +8.5 = $3.60
