NBA Playoffs Tips – Heat @ Celtics Predictions – Game 6

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The Celtics return to Boston for Game 6 in an attempt to secure their first NBA Finals appearance since 2010.

Tune in from 10:30am for Miami v Boston on Kayo.

Best Bet

Miami Under 96.5
Total Points Miami Heat

Since their first quarter blitz of Game 3 where they jumped the Celtics in Boston with a 39-18 quarter time lead, the Heat have gone cold offensively which correlates to the injury to Jimmy Butler.

In Miami’s last 11 quarters they average just 21.1 points per quarter, equating to an average of 84.4 points per game.

Boston has proven to be the best defensive team in the NBA this season with length and versatility across all positions, and unfortunately for the Heat they’re lacking the offensive spread and sheer star-power to put up winning scores.

Butler averages just 11.2 points per 36 minutes across the last three games, Tyler Herro remains out injured, Kyle Lowry should flat out not be out there, while Victor Oladipo and Max Strus are shooting the ball at under 30% for the series.

The Celtics should advance to the NBA Finals and will do so by once again shutting down the Heat.

Value Bet

Al Horford
Double Double

We should see an increase in rebounds in a low scoring Game 5, and there’s no player that has rebounded better this series than Al Horford.

Crazy to think Horford was not being played at the Thunder last season, and the 35-year-old has reinvigorated his career back at Boston and has been instrumental in these Conference Finals.

Horford averages 12.8 points and a series-high 9.3 rebounds, posting 10+ rebounds in four of his last six games and 10+ point games in three of his four games this series. Great value for the big man to record another double-double in Game 6 at $3 considering how good he has been on the glass the entire post-season.

Same Game Multi

Al Horford 8+ Rebounds / Marcus Smart 6+ Assists / PJ Tucker 1+ Three = $4.00

Marcus Smart is clearly playing hurt but with the NBA Finals to play for expect the gritty Point Guard to play his part. Smart averages 7.7 assists per game this series and has posted 6+ in five of the last seven games – Game 5 he only had four, but with foul trouble and ankle concerns he only played the 24 minutes. He should play 30+ in Game 6.

PJ Tucker averages 1.3 triples per game this post-season, and has made a triple in 12 of the 16 playoff games. Although he only averages 6.8 points per game in this Boston series, he does averages 1.2 threes and should be good to make a triple.

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Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.