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Game one losses for Toronto, Dallas and Denver will likely see lineup and coaching adjustments as they each look to level up their respective series on Tuesday.
Best Bet
Nuggets @ Warriors (12:00pm)
Nikola Jokic Over 43.5 Points & Rebounds ($2.05)
According to player efficiency rating (PER), Nikola Jokic’s 2021-22 regular season performance was the best in the history of the NBA but now the playoffs are here and it’s time for an encore.
Golden State shot the piss out of the ball on Sunday, knocking down 16 triples on 45 per cent from deep. That offensive showcase propelled them to a comfortable 123-107 victory but repeating the dose against a sound defence in the playoffs is more unlikely than likely.
Denver were also playing their first game in more than a week there and game one will have hopefully helped them to shake off any rust that had appeared.
Jokic may not have been ‘rusty’ on Sunday but he wasn’t the same player that had covered 43.5 points and rebounds in eight of his last 10.
The Joker averaged 28.0 points and 15.8 rebounds in 34.0 minutes per game in four regular season outings against the Warrriors this season but an uptick in minutes can be anticipated here as the Nuggets look to return to Denver with the series locked at 1-1.
Same Game Multi
Will Barton O15.5 Points
Nikola Jokic 13+ Rebounds
Draymond Green O7.5 Assists
$4.75
Next Best
Jazz @ Mavericks (10:30am)
Rudy Gobert Over 15.5 Rebounds ($1.90)
Reigning defensive player of the year Rudy Gobert has put together another very strong season with averages of 15.6 points and 14.7 rebounds per game but the playoffs are a different animal.
The small-ball lineups that plenty of teams opt to run in today’s NBA pose a difficult question for Gobert but that issue isn’t as debilitating when your opposition is subpar from long range.
Dallas sits 19th in the NBA in terms of 3PT% this season and that ranking is worse when they are without Luka Doncic. That figure points to heavy minutes for Gobert again on Tuesday and bodes well for this play.
The Frenchman had just one field goal attempt and two offensive rebounds on Sunday in what was his lowest usage rate game so far this year. Expect the Jazz to get Gobert much more involved here and the boards to flow as a result.
Same Game Multi
Total Points Under 210.5
Donovan Mitchell 25+ Points
Rudy Gobert 14+ Rebounds
$3.40
Value Bet
Raptors @ 76ers (9:30am)
James Harden 13+ Assists ($2.90)
Toronto rank in the bottom half of the league in terms of assists conceded to point guards this season and that statistic isn’t going to improve when you come up against James Harden.
The Beard has averaged 13.2 assists per game so far in April and has notched 13 or more in five of six games so far this month.
Harden appears to have found his rhythm as the floor manager of this team and will continue to rack up the assists when players like Embiid, Maxey and Harris surround him.
Toronto should bounce back and keep this one closer and that should keep Harden out on the floor enough for him to give 13+ assists a very good shake.
Same Game Multi
Philadelphia H2H
Pascal Siakam 25+ Points
Tobias Harris O2.5 Assists
$3.75
Daily Multi
Dallas +5.5 / Nikola Jokic 13+ Rebounds = $2.92
