An incredible Game 1 with the Pacers pinching it with less than a second remaining – how does the Thunder respond in Game 2?
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Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (10:00am)
Best Bet
Has to be better this series. Perhaps it was the Mark Daigneault panic rotations and starting lineup adjustments which resulted in Chet solely playing at centre that impacted Holmgren, but the big man only played 23 minutes and was really poor – he’s a vital cog to the success of this team though, and we should see him play more in Game 2.
We know what we get from SGA and more often than not JDub, but Chet is the barometer to this team’s success. In wins this post-season on OKC’s home court, Chet averages 17.5 points hitting 15+ points in six of the eight games – but when they lose, he only averages 13 points per game.
The Thunder win this – they simply figure out a way to split the series heading back to Indiana, and if that’s the case then I think we’ll see a much better production from Chet.
Value Bet
The Pacers simply smashed OKC on the glass as Daigneault attempted to go small, and Pascal Siakam has caused real problems for the Thunder this entire season including Game 1.
Siakam has hit 8+ rebounds in all three games against the Thunder at a very good clip – 11.2 rebounds per 36 minutes, while recording double-doubles in two of those games (currently paying $4).
Spicy P had 4 offensive rebounds on his way to 10 total rebounds in Game 1, and although he hasn’t produced huge rebound numbers this post-season averaging just 6 per game, this is clearly a match-up where the Eastern Conference Finals MVP can capitalise and get on the glass.
SGM
Holmgren 15+ Points / Siakam 6+ Rebounds / Nembhard 4+ Assists = $3.20