Heavy favourites, OKC, are just 4 wins away from capping off an amazing season. The Indiana Pacers stand in there way and it will take their absolute best to force any other result.
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Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (10:30am)
Best Bet
He has made it here with one job and so far these playoffs, he’s doing it well. He has averaged 7.9 rebounds per game and even provided an option for finishing around the ring, on offence.
There isn’t too many tricks in his bag and as far as role players goes, he knows and does his, to a tee. Had a quieter series against Minnesota due to matchups, but had great rebounding numbers against Jokic and the Nuggets and even better against Jackson Jnr and the Grizzlies. 4 games in double digits and has cleared this line on 10 occasions this post season.
This OKC team is so deep, they have not been afraid to play through 9 or 10 guys, in this playoff run. Hartenstein’s minutes have been affected at times if the match up requires an OKC small ball line up, but the Pacers have multiple tall’s and he should see 20+ here.
Value Bet
He will be used a fair bit this series, with his ability to guard 1 through 4. As easily as he can be a headache for Tyrese Haliburton, he has the physical presence to also slow Pascal Siakam.
Dort has had 10+ in 6 games this post season, each time it was due to multiple triples. If he is left to shoot, he will, which we saw against OKC both times he faced them this season. He had 10+ in both games and shot 9/15 combined from outside.
After rewatching the two in-season meets of these teams, I noticed the help defender came off of Dort a lot, especially if he was outside the arc. They let him shoot threes as their acceptable shot and I can see a similar game plan here.
SGM
Hartenstein 6+ Rebounds/Dort 2+ Threes/ Haliburton 15+ Points = $3.30