Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best NBA tips and predictions for every game of the NBA finals.
The NBA Finals are here! Golden State are favourites to be crowned the NBA Champions, and host the Celtics in Game 1.
Tune in from 11:00am for Golden State v Boston on Kayo.
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Best Bet
The Celtics have started each series slowly, failing to cover the line across three Game 1s this post-season. They enter this clash with the Warriors at Golden State coming off a physical series with the Heat which finished up on Monday.
As for the Warriors they’ll be well rested completing their series with the Mavericks a week back, giving them a much great opportunity to prepare in terms of the regular NBA landscape.
We know Boston is statistically the best defensive team in the NBA, but it will take some time adjusting to this Golden State offense. The Warriors rely on screens and movement off the ball, opposed to majority of NBA teams that play out of on-ball screens.
Boston’s ability to switch 1 through 5 has helped them get to this position, but defending an off-ball screen system will take some adjusting in which we will likely see them get lost at times with the screener’s getting open looks close to the rim.
Can Boston figure it out this series? Absolutely – but Game 1 for the Celtics will be about learning and adapting, and then preparing for the remainder of the series.
Value Bet
The Warriors average 39.4 three-point attempts per game during the regular season, but due to Boston’s ability to protect the paint and force the extra pass, this results in Golden State getting up bulk triples against the Celtics.
During the regular season, the Warriors averaged 47 three-point attempts per game against the Celtics, and as a result I’ve landed on Klay Thompson to make four triples in Game 1.
Last time the Warriors played the Celtics, Thompson went 1-11 from three – but the 11 attempts is highly encouraging. Klay averaged 3.6 triples per game across this post-season from 8.9 attempts, but the Warriors as a team are only averaging 35.7 three-point attempts per game this post-season meaning Thompson averages 24.9% of their three-point attempts.
If the Warriors follow the regular season trend against Boston and get 47 three-point attempts up, Thompson could have 11 or 12 three-point attempts in Game 1 – as a result of this 4 of 5 triples is highly achievable.
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Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points across the entire playoffs, but is coming off 18.6 points per game in the Western Conference Finals against the Mavericks, scoring 15+ points in 10 of his last 13 games. Had 27 points in his only encounter with the Celtics this season.
Although Jayson Tatum only averages 6.7 rebounds per game, he’s coming off a series with the Heat where he averaged 8.3 rebounds per game. Recording 7+ rebounds in seven of his last 11 games, Tatum averages 10 rebounds per game against Golden State this season and has posted 7+ rebounds in five of his last six against the Warriors.
Averaging 6.3 assists per game this post-season, Draymond Green will get a great opportunity to rack up the assists as the playmaker for this Golden State offense against a switching Boston defence. Has produced 6+ assists in four of his last five games against Boston.
