Golf Best Bets – BMW PGA Championship Outright Betting Tips 2022

Matthew Fitzpatrick

The flagship event of the DP World Tour has a crack field comprising stars from the DP World Tour, the PGA Tour and LIV Golf at the iconic Wentworth, a venue steeped in history.

Best Bet

Matthew Fitzpatrick
BMW PGA Championship Winner 2022

The US Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick returns to Wentworth for the first time since his historic major win and there is arguably no tournament outside of a major that the Sheffield-born lad would like to win more. He has certainly come close. In six appearances, he has made the cut every time with four Top 20 finishes including two in the Top 8. A quality all-round game is needed here and Fitzpatrick leads the PGA Tour in Scrambling while he ranks 3rd in Bogey Avoidance, 7th in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green and 10th in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee. He ticks every box.


Mid-Tier Bet

Tommy Fleetwood
BMW PGA Championship Winner 2022

Tommy Fleetwood has had a quiet couple of years but a good rest and playing in his home country might just see him return to his best. He loves Wentworth with four Top 20 finishes in his last seven starts here. Despite a quiet year on the PGA Tour, Fleetwood ranked 7th in Bogey Avoidance and 13th in Scrambling and finished 8th at Crans in 2019, the key correlation course.


Value Bet

Jordan Smith
BMW PGA Championship Winner 2022

Englishman Jordan Smith is not a player that wins out of turn but he profiles an absolute treat here. He leads the DP World Tour in GIR – arguably the most important number – while he ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, 3rd in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green, 11th in Bogey Avoidance and 13th in Scrambling.


Longshot Bet

Richie Ramsay
BMW PGA Championship Winner 2022

In-form Scot Richie Ramsay is big overs heading into this week. He has the game to suit ranking 1st in Bogey Avoidance, 3rd in Scrambling, 6th in GIR and 10th in Driving Accuracy. Three Top 20s here in his last nine starts. Won the Cazoo Classic four starts back so playing well enough.

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Nick has spent more than 15 years working in wagering around the world and is a regular NRL columnist for The Guardian.