The World Cup Final is here and a tight market gives us plenty of value for the big game.
Nerves will be high in the Final with so much at stake. France are looking to become the first team since Brazil in 1962 to win back-to-back while Lionel Messi is looking to win his first World Cup.
Both these sides are coming off games where they allowed their opponents to dominate possession, backing in their strong defensive lines to repel attacks and create on the counter.
This reinforces the likelihood of a slow start as these sides will have to settle in to which team will control the ball and ultimately the flow of the game.
The stats back it up too, in France’s matches at this tournament there have been 12 goals after half time and only 6 in first halves. Argentina’s matches have played out similarly with only 5 goals in first halves and 12 after the break.
In 2010, Spain lost the first game of their World Cup campaign and went on to win it all. Argentina looked doomed for an early exit after losing to Saudi Arabia but everything has come together since that opening blunder.
They are coming off their biggest win of the tournament in the semi-final, taking down the undefeated Croatia. This came one match after topping a Netherlands side that hadn’t lost since June 2021.
This game should be dictated by Argentina, they play slow and methodically while France love to sit back and pounce on counter attacks. This suits both teams with Argentina’s creativity in midfield and France’s pace in transition.
While France will have their chances, it will be far fewer than their other matches. Argentina have restricted their opponents to 5.7 shots per game, boasting the best defence of the tournament.
Argentina look the better side to Lift The Trophy at $1.98 but the value in a 2-1 scoreline looks a great play with the way these sides match up stylistically.
The value is on the Argentina side of the ball with Hugo Lloris looking far more susceptible than Emi Martinez to concede in this match.
Lionel Messi ($2.62) has scored in every single knockout game this tournament and won’t shy away on the big stage.
With Angel Di Maria and Paulo Dybala both lacking fitness and probably not available to play the full 90 minutes, Julian Alvarez Over 1.5 Shots is one to throw into all multis.
On the France side of the ball, Antoine Greizmann 1+ Assist at $5.00 represents the best value with the likes of French goalscorers Mbappe, Giroud and even Thuram at very low prices to score in the final. Greizmann has more expected assists than any other player at the World Cup and has proven to be France’s key creator.
Same Game Multi
2nd Half Highest Scoring Half / Julian Alvarez Over 1.5 Shots / Both Teams To Score / Over 2.5 Cards / Lionel Messi to Score or Assist – $16.06