Two teams on the wrong end of the points table meet at the Wankhede Stadium on Monday night in a match that neither can afford to lose, and both have been losing regularly.
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Head to Head
MI at $1.59 is not a price that gets the blood pumping, but they are the right side here.
MI lead the all-time series 9-5 across 14 meetings and have won six of the last eight, including both encounters in 2025.
LSG have not won in five straight and their batting is the worst in the competition by some margin. Pooran has managed 82 runs in eight innings at a strike rate of 81. Marsh and Markram have not come close to their best.
If Shami and Mohsin bowl well enough to keep MI below 180, LSG have the bowling to chase it, but they have failed to do exactly that in every game this season.
MI are not in great shape either. Bumrah has been almost wicketless, Suryakumar and Pandya have offered little, and they have used 22 players this season trying to find something that works.
Home advantage and LSG’s batting battles are what tips it. Back MI but they’re no value at the price.
Best Bet
Dhir has two fifties and a 45 in his last five innings for 233 runs at a strike rate of 147, the second-most for MI this season. He has slotted in at 3 and 4 and delivered almost each time he has been given a chance. Against an LSG bowling attack that continues to struggle, he should be looking for another strong outing here.
Value Bet
Mohsin has nine wickets in four games at an economy of 6.37, the best of any bowler in the competition who has bowled at least five overs. He has dismissed Pandya twice in ten balls and comes to a Wankhede surface that has aided swing and seam early this season. He’s the standout pick from a struggling attack.
Same Game Multi
MI H2H / Dhir & Tilak Varma 20+ Runs / Shami 2+ Wickets
