It’s the perfect end to the BBL 15 regular season, with a sudden-death qualifier between the Heat and the Sixers at the Gabba for the final finals spot.
Head to Head
The Sixers are the stronger lineup on paper but they look short at the price, especially if they bat first.
The chasing team has held a huge edge at the Gabba, winning eight of the last nine matches. That trend also continues for the Sixers, with the chasing team winning eight of the Sixers’ last nine matches.
Brisbane’s recent home form has also been strong, winning five of their last six at the Gabba and six of their last seven when priced as underdogs.
These teams met a couple of weeks ago in a very low-scoring match. The Sixers just managed to chase down the Heat’s 114 target with three wickets and eight balls to spare.
Neither side is expected to make changes, with Test stars Steve Smith and Mitch Starc lining up for the visitors, while Marnus Labuschagne and Usman Khawaja are set to feature for the Heat.
The Sixers are deserved favourites but won’t be any value if they bat first, particularly with some rain forecast. Chasing sides are often advantaged when DLS becomes a factor.
Wait for the bat flip or focus on the player markets in this one.
Best Bet
No matter where they set the line, Smith remains a bet, especially against an average Heat bowling attack. The superstar has scored 30+ runs in eight of his last 10 BBL innings and has posted centuries in two of his last three knocks. Keep an eye on the radar to make sure we get a full game before loading up on bigger milestones.
Value Bet
Davies looks a long way down the market for a bowler who has taken 2+ wickets in four of his last six matches. With Starc and Abbott likely taking the new ball against a strong Heat top order, Davies should get plenty of opportunities for wickets through the middle overs and is a big price here.
Same Game Multi
Smith 30+ Runs / Khawaja 20+ Runs / Davies & Starc 1+ Wicket
