Isaac Heeney continues to poll with another strong performance, but there’s another close to double-digits that remains under the radar.
Brownlow Leaderboard
| Player | Votes | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1. I.Heeney (Syd) | 18.50 | $3.45 |
| 2. C.Serong (Fre) | 14.50 | $9.25 |
| 3. P.Cripps (Carl) | 13.00 | $9.25 |
| 4. N.Daicos (Coll) | 12.75 | $5.50 |
| 5. Z.Merrett (Ess) | 12.25 | $7.75 |
Best Bet
The Dockers Midfielder has a slight buffer from the chasing pack now, and although Caleb Serong still has a lot of ground to cover in chasing Isaac Heeney, the likes of Chad Warner and Errol Gulden will be his best friend in the back half of the season.
Serong is ranked 1 in the competition for disposals per game with 33, second in clearances per game (8) and fourth in contested possessions with 14.8 per game, and not far behind Matt Rowell in first place.
It was another big game from Serong with 30 disposals in Fremantle’s win over St Kilda where he’ll likely feature in the votes once again. Averaging 35.7 disposals per game in the Dockers six wins this season, the price around $10 still means he’s flying under the radar.
Lay
The Giants are out of form and although Tom Green’s numbers are serviceable, they’re not strong enough to poll in losses.
Green has dropped to 9th on our leaderboard with 11 votes, with the Giants heading down to Geelong on Friday before their bye.
Assuming the Cats win at home in a must-win game for both teams, Green’s price will likely be around the $20 mark entering Round 13.
Value Bet
Ridiculous performance in Sydney’s win against Carlton with 28 disposals and 3 goals including plenty of eye-catching runs.
Heeney is the obvious favourite to win this year’s Brownlow, but Warner’s last month has been exceptional where he could have four best-on-grounds.
Although our leaderboard has Heeney on 18.5 votes and Warner on 11.75 in 7th place, if Heeney doesn’t poll as planned there’s a chance the pair are on 15 votes apiece after Round 10.
The below five performances must put Warner in the mix – could he produce five best-ons and be up front with his Swans teammate?
Round 1 – 27 disposals, 3 goals
Round 7 – 22 disposals, 1 goal
Round 8 – 28 disposals, 1 goal
Round 9 – 23 disposals, 2 goals
Round 10 – 28 disposals, 3 goals
