What looked like a mouth-watering contest a fortnight ago has been reduced to a mismatch by a devastating Dogs injury toll.
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Best Bet
The Swans are the right side to be backing here and the line looks well within reach.
The Dogs lose Sam Darcy, James O’Donnell and Tom Liberatore, who join Tim English, Arthur Jones and Connor Budarick on the sideline. Marcus Bontempelli and Rory Lobb are also a chance to miss. That is an extraordinary toll on a side whose defence was already giving up 96 points per game, ranked 13th in the competition.
They face the AFL’s hottest team. Sydney are 5-1 and have covered the line in seven straight matches, averaging 106 points per game, ranked second best in the competition. The likes of Curnow, Amartey, Heeney and Papley could be in for a huge night against a backline missing some of its most important players.
Back the Swans to cash in on the Dogs’ misfortune.
Same Game Multi
Charlie Curnow has kicked three and four goals in his last three weeks and averages four per game in his last five against the Dogs. Joel Amartey is averaging two goals per game this season and the Dogs are the ideal opponent right now.
Bailey Dale has had 20 or more disposals in five straight games and the Swans will be feeding him plenty of kick-ins.
Value Bet
Isaac Heeney kicked five last time these teams met and has another bag of four in his last five games against the Dogs. With the Dogs’ midfield depth severely tested, he may spend more time forward than usual and this price is hard to ignore.
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