The top two teams – by percentage – in the league meet when the Bulldogs host the Swans on Thursday night at Marvel Stadium.
Best Bet
The market has yet to catch up with just how dominant the Sydney Swans are.
The Swans have won nine out of ten and covered in eight of those, with the only loss coming – somehow – against the Tigers. Their only failure to cover when winning came against West Coast.
Their nine goal romp over the Blues last week was just the latest example of how dominant a side this is. Not only do they win key metrics like clearances and inside 50s, they’re so good with ball in hand that they hurt when they do win them.
Last week the Swans outscored the much vaunted Blues midfield 51-13 from stoppages and despite winning the disposal count, they also won they tackle count. They are a force defensively and offensively.
The Dogs have been much better in the last fortnight, but the Swans laying less than two goals are a bet against anyone in present form.
Insights
🏆Swans’ Dominance as Favourites: Sydney have excelled when favoured, successfully covering the spread in 7 of their last 8 games when laying points.
📉 Low Scoring Trend: Encounters between the Western Bulldogs and Sydney Swans have consistently resulted in low scoring games, with 7 unders in their last 8 games.
🚫 Bulldogs’ Challenges Against Top Teams: The Bulldogs have struggled significantly against top-tier teams, failing to secure wins in their last 6 games against top 4 opponents.
Same Game Multi
The Swans used James Jordan as a tagger on Sam Walsh to great effect. Who will he go to this week? Hard to say, but you’d want to be careful about including Libba, Bont or Treloar. Suspect it’s Libba he goes to.
The Swans do allow big numbers to opposition ball handling defenders so Bailey Dale is a likely candidate for the Dogs, while Errol Gulden and Chad Warner continue to rack up big numbers.
Value Bet
The Swans have won four of their last five by 40 or more. It’s not hard to see this game becoming yet another blowout.
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