The Saints and the Bulldogs meet on Sunday night at Marvel Stadium in a battle of two evenly-matched sides.
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Best Bet
Backing the dominant betting trend of 2025, the over, looks the strongest play here.
The first five rounds have been high scoring, with 60% of games clearing the total.
These sides have each been involved in shootouts too, each averaging 180 points. They’ve each played two games at Marvel this year, with St Kilda’s games averaging 189 and the Dogs’ averaging 184.
Both teams love to attack from stoppage, ranked second and third for scoring from that source, which should get the ball moving from contest. The Dogs will also be boosted by the return of skipper Marcus Bontempelli.
With four of St Kilda’s last five going over and nine of the Dogs’ last 12 at Marvel hitting the same mark, back them to pile on the goals Sunday night.
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Jack Higgins’ terrific form should continue, he’s averaging three goals per game in his last four.
Sam Darcy’s reach presents a big issue for a Saints’ defence that lacks height. Expect at least a couple out of him for the fourth straight week.
The Dogs don’t tag so Jack Sinclair should fill up the stat sheet.
Value Bet
The Dogs have only beaten North Melbourne and Carlton this season so it’s a tad surprising to see them as nearly two-goal favourites here. The Saints have won eight of their last nine at Marvel and are capable of an upset victory here.
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