The Western Bulldogs host Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night in a match that could get very ugly very quickly.
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Best Bet
The Dogs will win this by plenty.
Luke Beveridge’s team has been ruthless against the Tigers lately, winning the last three by 55, 91 and 79 points. The Dogs have not been blowing teams away this season with only one win by 40 or more points, but they have faced the toughest draw in the competition, so this is their chance to pile on some percentage.
Richmond got blown away again last week, losing by 70 points to Hawthorn. They have lost all seven games against top-eight teams by more than 40 points, failing to cover the line in each, with an average losing margin of 70 points.
The loss of Noah Balta won’t help them stem the bleeding while Steely Green’s absence impacts their scoring. The Dogs regain Liberatore so they should dominate around the ball.
Expect this to get ugly.
Same Game Multi
Piling in on the Dogs for goals. Aaron Naughton has kicked three or more in three of his last four against Richmond. Marcus Bontempelli has kicked five in his last two games while Artie Jones has kicked a goal in eight straight.
Value Bet
You can almost pencil in the Bont for three Brownlow votes here. His record against Richmond is outstanding, kicking eight goals in his last three games against them while averaging over 30 disposals in the same stretch. He’ll get plenty of chances to hit the scoreboard and $3.50 looks a good price.
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End