The Bulldogs meet the unbeaten Lions in their Gather Round clash at Norwood Oval.
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Best Bet
The Lions have been a poor bet when favoured for some time and it should ensure this remains close.
Brisbane have failed to cover the line in eight of their last nine matches as favourites, including each of their last four. They’ve covered in just two of their last 12 against top 10 teams.
The Lions may be 4-0 but they’re really yet to hit full gear in 2025. They have not covered the line this year, with two narrow wins over the Swans and Cats, while their wins over the lowly Tigs and Eagles only came by 19 and 28 points.
The Doggies have been very solid this year despite a lengthy injury list, sitting 2-2 with three covers. Their four games have all been decided by under 16 points. They’ve also covered the line in five of their last six games as underdogs.
This game will be played at the extremely small Norwood Oval, typically a low-scoring venue in SANFL footy, which should also help keep things tight.
It all points to a close battle on Saturday arvo.
Same Game Multi
As mentioned, this will be played at the postage stamp-sized Norwood Oval, where the average total in four AFL games has been 154 points.
Libba has been dominating in the Bont’s absence, racking up 30+ in three straight games. Josh Dunkley has had 25+ in three of four games this year and will also benefit if this is a contest-heavy match.
Value Bet
Neale has had 35+ in three of his last five games and had 38 in his last game against the Dogs. The Dogs don’t tag so he should gather plenty of pill in this one.
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