AFL Tips - West Coast v Sydney

A resurgent West Coast side that has won back-to-back games faces a significant step up in class when Sydney arrive at Optus Stadium on Saturday night.

Best Bet

Sydney -30.5

Line

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$1.90

West Coast’s form revival has been genuinely encouraging, but the Swans off a bye are a completely different proposition to Port Adelaide and North Melbourne.

Sydney have won eight of their last 11 at Optus Stadium and covered the line in nine of those. They have also loved playing West Coast in recent years, winning the last four meetings by an average of 65 points. The class gap between these clubs remains enormous.

The bye advantage is also significant. Twenty one of the last 28 teams coming off the break have covered the line, and Isaac Heeney returns to the side after missing last week. That is a massive inclusion for a Sydney team that already has too many weapons for West Coast to handle.

West Coast’s improvement has been built heavily around Elliot Yeo, whose absence this week will be felt throughout their game. Losing your best player against the competition’s elite is a recipe for a big defeat.

Back the Swans to cover by plenty.

Same Game Multi

Sydney -30.5, N.Blakey 20+ Disposals, C.Mills 20+ Disposals, L.McDonald 2+ Goals

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$3.60

Nick Blakey has had 20 or more disposals in ten straight games and Callum Mills has hit that mark in four of his last five, averaging 25 in that stretch with 22 in the other. Both are conservative lines given their current form.

Logan McDonald has kicked five goals across his last two games and West Coast have been unable to contain key forwards all season.

Value Bet

J.Amartey 4+ Goals

Player Goals

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$5.75

Joel Amartey can be a frustrating betting proposition but he already has a bag of five this season and kicked four two games ago against West Coast. On current form he and McDonald look the better bets ahead of Curnow, and if the Swans get on top early and the ball floods forward, Amartey is the kind of player who can pile on goals in a hurry.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.