AFL Tips - West Coast v Carlton

The Blues are big favourites over West Coast at Optus Stadium to close out Round 15.

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Best Bet

Under 167.5 Points

Total Points

$1.90

There’s very little interest in taking Carlton as four goal favourites against anyone at present, so the focus turns to the total.

Blues games continue to fall short of the total, with 16 of their last 18 games going under. The average total in their games this year is just 153 points.

Optus is generally a higher scoring venue, but Carlton games at the ground have bucked that trend, only averaging 139 points.

The Eagles are only averaging 73 points for this year, so you would expect that the Blues will need to do the vast majority of scoring to get this total over.

However, Carlton are only averaging 78 points themselves against bottom ten teams this year. They have failed to score 80 points in each of their last three against bottom ten teams.

Expect another low-scoring Carlton game.

Same Game Multi

Under 167.5 Points, G.Hewitt 25+ Disposals, L.Duggan 20+ Disposals, J.Williams Anytime Goal

TBC

George Hewitt has had 25+ in nine of his last ten, while Liam Duggan has had 20+ in five straight.

Jack Williams is averaging 1.8 goals per game from his last five games.

Value Bet

Charlie Curnow

4+ Goals

$4.00

Curnow has been a long way off his best this year but he does have an insane record against the Eagles, booting 26 goals from his last four.

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