It’s first vs last to close out AFL Round 22 when the Eagles face the Crows at the Adelaide Oval. This will get ugly.
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Best Bet
Adelaide are going to annihilate West Coast.
The Crows have covered the line in seven straight games against the bottom four. In their three games against the current bottom four this season, their average winning margin is 66 points.
Late in the year, games between top and bottom sides usually favour the top. In 38 top four vs bottom four games post–Round 18 since 2010, the favourite has covered 66% of the time, winning by an average of 62 points.
West Coast have been dreadful in the back half of the season, covering in just three of their last ten games and averaging only 62 points per match. The Crows have scored 120+ in each of their last four games against bottom-ten sides.
Perth is set for heavy rain this weekend, but unfortunately for the Eagles, it’s expected to clear by the afternoon.
This could be a very, very large margin.
Same Game Multi
Rising Star favourite Dan Curtin continues to fill up the stat sheet. He’s had 20+ in four straight.
Izak Rankine has had 15+ in 20 straight games and has kicked 2+ in three of Adelaide’s last four when favoured.
Value Bet
There isn’t much value in the Adelaide talls here but Rankine is spending much more time forward in the last six weeks. He has a bag of five in his last five and kicked three last week.
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