AFL Tips – Sydney v Western Bulldogs – Round 16 2025

The Swans are hunting a third-straight win when they host the Bulldogs on Friday night.

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Best Bet

Western Bulldogs -8.5

Line

$1.90

This is a tricky game with Sydney regaining some missing stars but we’re backing in the Dogs’ record against bottom ten teams.

Luke Beveridge’s team have been savage in those games this year, winning seven from seven, covering the line in six and winning by an average of 71 points.

The Swans have looked less like a bottom ten side in recent weeks with Gulden, Papley, Amartey and Roberts back in the line-up. But their two wins have come against Richmond (17th) and Port Adelaide (12th), and they only managed scores of 71 and 80 points in those games (although Joel Amartey’s goal-kicking didn’t help last week).

This is a major step up in opposition, especially in scoring power. The Dogs are the highest scoring team in the AFL this season, averaging 113 points per game – two goals more than the next best. The Swans haven’t cracked 100 points since Round 4.

The Dogs dominated this match-up at the SCG last year, running away 39 point winners. With the favourite covering in 14 of Sydney’s last 15 games, take the visitors on Friday night.

Same Game Multi

Bulldogs -8.5, M.Kennedy 25+ Disposals, J.McInerney 20+ Disposals, R.West Anytime Goal

$5.75

Matt Kennedy has had 25+ touches in five straight, and eight of ten this year, while Justin McInerney has had 20+ in seven straight.

Rhylee West has kicked a goal in nine of his last ten games.

Value Bet

Western Bulldogs 40+

Margin

$4.80

This looks a good price to find out whether the Swans are back, or whether they will be the next bottom team team for the Dogs to decimate.

The Doggies have won five of six games against bottom ten teams by 40+ points this year.

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