The Saints can build on their excellent record against the Swans.
The Swans have been a poor betting proposition at home this season and the Saints can certainly keep this one close.
Sydney has only covered twice from six games at the SCG. They have been rolled by the Suns and pushed all the way by North. They have failed to cover five of the last six times as favourites including last week when belted by the Power.
While St Kilda are coming off their most disappointing performance of the season against Essendon, the Saints are generally punters pals. They have covered nine of thirteen so far this season, including two of three interstate.
As we have pointed out with the Swans before, contested footy seems to be the key barometer to their performance. St Kilda are ranked fifth in the league for this metric, and with captain Jack Steele back from a shoulder injury, they should only improve.
The Saints covered in both games against the Swans last year including an upset in Round 21, breaking a three game losing streak.
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Sydney concede disposals at the second lowest rate in the league but interestingly they have lost the count in each of the last four weeks. Happy to take some of the Saints key accumulators as a result including Jack Sinclair and Matt Crouch.
Cooper Sharman has been in tremendous form in the VFL with bags of four and three in his last two games. He should see plenty of forward minutes with Jack Higgins out of the side.
The Saints have taken some big scalps this year including Freo (away), Richmond, and Geelong. A win over the inconsistent Swans is certainly not beyond them.