AFL Tips – Sydney v Carlton – Round 10 2025

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Best Bet

Under 163.5 Points

Total Points

$1.90

There is absolutely no reason to jump off the Carlton under train, especially in this match-up.

Blues games continue to fall short of the total, with 14 of their last 15 now going under. The average total in their games this year has been 151 and the only game which has gone over came against North, who would have been flat out defending an U18s team at that stage.

Sydney continue to struggle with a long injury list, which is a key reason why their scoring is significantly down. The Swans sit 13th for points scored in 2025, averaging just 78 per game, down from 98 in 2024.

Michael Voss made improving Carlton’s defence a clear focus after they finished in the bottom four for points conceded last year, and so far he’s delivered. The Blues now rank equal fifth in defence, giving up just 76 per game.

It has come at the expense of their attack, however, with Carlton only scoring 75 points per game, which ranks 14th.

With five of Sydney’s last six at the SCG also going under, Friday night looks set for another low-scoring contest.

Same Game Multi

Under 163.5 Points, G.Hewitt 25+ Disposals, M.Roberts & C.Warner 20+ Disposals

TBC

James Jordan went to Sam Walsh last year so steer clear of him.

George Hewitt is averaging 29 this season and has had 25+ in 12 straight, while Matt Roberts has had 20+ in seven straight and Chad Warner has had 20+ in 24 of 25 at the SCG.

Value Bet

George Hewitt

35+ Disposals

$5.50

Not a whole lot of value on offer in this game but George Hewitt has a 39 and 34 disposal game in his last five. This should be a pretty contested game, with Carlton averaging the most stoppages in their games, so Hewitt could fill up against his old team.

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