The Western Bulldogs are in need of a win to bounce back into the top eight when they face St Kilda on Thursday night.
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Best Bet
Despite losing three of their last four, the Bulldogs still shape as a solid bet.
They have won and covered in four of their last five against the Saints, all at Marvel. Their last two wins over them have come by 71 and 60 points, the most recent just eight weeks ago.
We’ll give Luke Beveridge’s side a mulligan for last week’s flat effort off the bye against Hawthorn. Their showing against Geelong in Geelong the week prior was impressive, and their only other loss in the past month was a 10-point defeat to the Suns in Darwin.
The Saints were excellent against Melbourne in Alice Springs before the bye, but their record off a break is poor. They have failed to cover in four of their last five after a rest. They have also struggled against strong opposition, covering just one of five games against top nine sides with an average losing margin of 37 points.
The return of Sam Darcy is enormous against a St Kilda defence missing Dougal Howard and Zaine Cordy as key back options. Jack Macrae returns for the Saints to face his old side.
The Bulldogs dominated the midfield contest in Round 8, winning clearances 44 to 23. St Kilda lack the engine room to go with them, and the Dogs should win this comfortably.
Same Game Multi
Aaron Naughton has kicked 2+ in four straight against the Saints.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has recorded 25+ disposals in each of his last seven matches, while Tom Liberatore has had 25+ in four of five at Marvel. He also may get some extra freedom with Windhager likely to tag Richards.
Value Bet
Averaging just 1.54 goals per game in 2025, Aaron Naughton would be putting up a strong case for the AFL’s most overpaid player at present but he gets a chance to turn that around against a side he enjoys playing.
His last four games against the Saints have produced hauls of 3, 6, 2 and 5 goals.
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