The resurgent Swans look to keep their slim finals hopes alive when they face St Kilda at Marvel on Sunday.
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Best Bet
Sydney have all the momentum heading into this match, but both St Kilda and Marvel Stadium have caused them problems lately.
The Saints have covered the line in six of their last seven against the Swans and won the last two, both as underdogs.
Ross Lyon’s side is coming off four straight games against top nine opposition, so a return to more manageable competition will be welcome. They have a strong record at Marvel against bottom ten teams, covering in 59% of matches, including each of their last six.
Sydney have looked sharper since Errol Gulden returned, but they lose Tom Papley and Joel Amartey again this week. Their Marvel form is also a concern, covering in just four of their last 15 at the venue.
It may not be a comfortable watch, but the numbers suggest the Saints can keep it close.
Same Game Multi
Jordan and Windhager will likely get tagging roles so be wary with the star mids here.
Cooper Sharman has kicked a goal in nine of his last ten at Marvel, while Max Hall has kicked five in his last three games.
Jack Steele doesn’t do enough damage to be tagged. He’s had 20+ in five of six (and 19 in the other).
Value Bet
There’s very little value on offer in this game but if you think the Saints can make it three in a row over the Swans, then you’re getting a very tidy price.
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