AFL Tips – St Kilda v Sydney – Round 17 2024

St Kilda vs Sydney - AFL Tips

The Swans have taken all before them on the road this season and can make short work of the disappointing Saints on Sunday at Marvel.

Best Bet

Sydney -25.5
Line

Sydney tasted defeat for just the second time all season last week but they are well capable of bouncing back against St Kilda.

The Swans are simply a scoring juggernaut this season and the Saints don’t look to have the firepower to match.

John Longmire’s side have posted 98 or more in ten of their last eleven while the Saints have the fourth worst offence in the league, and have now lost Ben King for the season with injury.

The Swans have been equally as good on the road as at home, having won seven and covered in six of eight away from the SCG this season.

In order to cover here the Saints need to do a better job defensively than almost any other team has been able to. In current form, that seems unlikely.

Insights

🚀 Sydney Swans Away: In the last 5 games away, the Sydney have achieved 5 covers, showing strong performance on the road.

🌟 Sydney Swans as Favourites: In the last 8 games as favourites, the Swans have achieved 7 covers, reflecting consistent performance when expected to win.

📊 St Kilda After Scoring Less than 65 Points: In the last 5 games following a match where they scored less than 65 points, St Kilda has achieved just 1 win.


Same Game Multi

Swans -25.5, Sinclair 30+, Wanganeen-Milera 25+ Disposals

Irrespective of the Saints performance, Jack Sinclair and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera have been super consistent ball winners for the Saints.


Value Bet

Tim Membrey
3+ Goals

Saints forward Membrey should get the good looks for the Saints with Max King out. He’s a nice price for three or more.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.