AFL Tips – St Kilda v Hawthorn – Round 20 2022

Everything points to another high scoring clash between these two sides.

Best Bet

Over 167.5
Total Points

When St Kilda and Hawthorn met in Round 4 the Saints smashed the Hawks by 69 points. At 215 total points, it was one of the highest scoring matches of the year and we should expect more of the same.

Hawthorn continually find themselves in high scoring matches, and have gone over the total in 12 of their last 15.

St Kilda have been a little more inconsistent hitting the scoreboard but this has generally been when they have produced extremely poor efforts against good opposition, as in the Sydney and Western Bulldogs games.

The styles here also make a high scoring clash likely. Hawthorn love to move the ball aggressively through the corridor. St Kilda rank last in the competition for conceding scores from kick ins.

However, St Kilda is strong at generating score from forward half intercepts, meaning that when Hawthorn do get it wrong, they should be punished.

Styles make fights, and this one screams over.

Get on Betseeker Bingo with TopSport. If two or more listed players kick the first goal in Round 20, you win! There are chances to win across all nine games.

Same Game Multi

Over 166.5, B.Crouch 25+ Disposals, J.Sicily 20+ Disposals, M. Lewis 3+Goals

Both sides have been deploying taggers with great effect of late. Suspect Finn McGuinness will go to Jack Steele or Jack Sinclair while Marcus Windhager, who kept Tim Kelly to four disposals last week, should go to either Tom Mitchell or Jai Newcombe. Be careful about including those players in your SGMs.

Brad Crouch doesn’t do enough damage with the footy to be worth tagging, while James Sicily has not gone under 20 disposals all year.

Mitch Lewis managed 3.5 against the Saints in the Round 4 drubbing, he could go big here with better supply this time round.

Value Bet

Mitch Lewis
5+ Goals

Lewis can be a bit hit or miss but conditions look primed for him to kick a big bag against the Saints. 5 or more at $9.50 looks very attractive.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.