The Saints head to Geelong in search of a second win over the Cats this season.
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Best Bet
Geelong have been exposed in recent years by a few teams, and perhaps surprisingly, St Kilda are among them.
As discussed by Daniel Hoyne on SEN this week, teams that move the ball quickly from defence to attack have found consistent success against the perennially competitive Cats. These teams include GWS, Brisbane, Collingwood and St Kilda, who have now won three of their last four against Geelong and covered the line in all four.
The Saints claimed a seven-point win earlier this season at Marvel as four-goal underdogs. While the final margin was close, a last-quarter surge from Geelong made the scoreline more flattering. Ross Lyon’s side had led by 27 or more at every break.
A key reason for St Kilda’s success in this matchup has been their ability to limit Geelong’s stars. Jeremy Cameron averages just 1.6 goals per game against the Saints, Dangerfield 0.4 and Stengle 1.4.
With the underdog covering in six of the last seven between these sides, back St Kilda to keep it close.
Same Game Multi
Steer clear of Bailey Smith and Max Holmes as either could get the Windhager tag.
Nasiah has missed the 25-disposal mark twice this season, each time falling short by just one touch. He had 29 against the Cats earlier in the season.
St Kilda concede a lot of touches to half-backs. Both Tom Stewart and Jack Martin, who has impressed off half-back, should be good for 20.
Ollie Dempsey has kicked six goals in three games against the Saints.
Value Bet
The Cats have lost two of their last five at Kardinia Park, and the Saints only lost by eight points when they travelled down the highway last year. We’re getting a big price for the underdogs to make it four wins from five against Geelong.
Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.
