AFL Tips – St Kilda v Brisbane – Round 22 2022

In a game where both sides have everything to play for, the numbers point to a Friday night shootout under the roof at Marvel.

Best Bet

Over 169.5
Total Match Points

Brisbane can’t help getting involved in shootouts. Chris Fagan’s team have been the most consistent ‘over’ team of 2022, with the total going over in 14 of 20 Lions games so far this season.

That is almost the same rate as last season, and in games where the Lions are favourites, the total goes over 75% of the time in the last two years.

Last week’s game, where Brisbane lost concentration and allowed Carlton to kick eight goals in the final term, is the perfect example of why their games do go over the total.

The Lions are clearly the highest scoring team in league, averaging more than 100 points per game, but they concede more than any other top eight side with the exception of Richmond.

St Kilda games have leaned more to the under this year, although six out of their ten games at Marvel this season have gone over.

There should be goals aplenty under the roof on Friday night.

Get on Betseeker Bingo with TopSport. If two or more listed players kick the first goal this round, you win! There are chances to win across all nine games.

Same Game Multi

Over 169.5, R. Marshall 20+ Disposals, B.King, L.McCarthy 2+ Goals

Since Patrick Ryder went down, Rowan Marshall has been winning plenty of footy as the Saints full time ruckman. Happy to take Max King for a couple and Lincoln McCarthy continues to be underrated as a goalscorer.

Value Bet

Over 199.5
Full Time Alternate Totals

Eight Lions games have cracked the double ton in season 2022. When the highest scoring team in the league plays at the highest scoring venue, it should mean plenty of points.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.