AFL Tips – Richmond v West Coast

West Coast head to the MCG on Sunday afternoon as favourites to face Richmond in a battle of two bottom four teams.

Best Bet

West Coast Eagles

Head To Head

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$1.83

These two were close to level odds early in the week and all the money has come for West Coast since.

Not much separates these two on the ladder, but there is a big gap between them lately.

Over their last 10 games Richmond are 1-9 with an average losing margin of 40 points. West Coast are 2-8 with an average losing margin of 17. Both sides are bad. Only one of them is competitive.

Five of the Eagles’ seven straight losses have come by 25 points or less, two of them by three points or less.

The turnover game is where the gap really opens up. West Coast have been solid there lately, ranked 10th over the last 10 weeks at minus 2.4 points a game. The Tigers are dead last at minus 30.5.

Take the Eagles.

Same Game Multi

West Coast Eagles, Under 168.5 Points, J.Waterman 2+ Goals, M.Herbert 20+ Disposals

Same Game Multi

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$5.00

Richmond games at the MCG continue to drift under, with 18 of the last 22 at the home of football going under the total.

Jake Waterman could fill his boots here, having kicked three or more in three of his last four against bottom six sides.

Marcus Herbert racked up 36 touches off half back last week and this is a great match-up for half-backs.

Value Bet

J.Waterman 5+ Goals

Player Goals

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$5.00

Waterman is worth backing for a big bag here. Richmond have conceded more bags of five than any other team this year.

He also loves playing the Tigers, kicking 10.5 in his last three against them including a bag of five, and he booted five against Brisbane two weeks ago.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.