AFL Tips – Richmond v West Coast – Round 16 2022

Richmond vs West Coast - Expert AFL Tips

The Tigs should comfortably cover a seven goal start on Sunday at the ‘G.

Best Bet

Richmond -42.5
Line

Richmond demolished West Coast by 109 points in Perth just nine weeks ago and should comfortably clear this line.

The Tigers have been the punter’s pal in recent times, covering the line in nine straight games (as long as you got 3.5 and not 2.5 points against the Cats last week!).

They’ll lose the important Dion Prestia with concussion this week but that will be offset by the absence of Josh Kennedy, who kicked five of West Coast’s 16 goals last week. Expect Jack Darling to struggle to hit the scoreboard against the experienced pair of Robbie Tarrant and Dylan Grimes, leaving West Coast’s goal kicking avenues threadbare.

The Eagles will regain Nic Naitanui but will still be without Jeremy McGovern, Dom Sheed and Oscar Allen. They’ll play their 46th player of season 2022 on Sunday, testament to how terrible their player availability has been this year. They were terrific against Essendon at home last week but this is a huge step-up in class.

The Tigs will be missing Dion Prestia and Trent Cotchin but they have cleared the line in nine of ten games at home this year and should dominate the Eagles once again.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.


Same Game Multi

Richmond -42.5, J.Redden & L.Baker 20+ Disposals, T.Lynch 3+ Goals

Tom Lynch has been white hot in recent weeks, kicking 3+ goals in five of his last six games (and 0.4 in the other).

Jack Redden has had 20+ touches in 15 of his last 16 games. Liam Baker was one to pick up the slack in Trent Cotchin’s absence last week, attending 47% of centre bounces – the first time he’d been in the middle since Round 6. He’s had 20+ touches in six-straight games.


Value Bet

Jack Darling
Exactly 1 goal

It hasn’t been Jack Darling’s finest year. Following a limited off-season the big Eagle has recorded his worst goals per game average since his first year in 2011.

Darling has kicked a single goal in 7 of his 13 games this season and, as mentioned, is in for a rough night against Tarrant and Grimes.

Our friends at TopSport have exact goal markets, and the $3.15 on offer for a single goal or even $5.20 to be held goalless both look good value.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.