The winless, injury-plagued Tigers face another tough test in the Swans at the MCG on Sunday.
Best Bet
This has points written all over it.
These two teams have a history of high scoring contests, with the last four going over and two of those clearing the double ton.
For all the doomsaying, Richmond have actually been reasonably competitive despite their long injury list, sticking with Port for three quarters last week and running Carlton to within five points the game prior.
Where they are struggling is defensively, conceding 99, 86 and 121 points in their three games. They have the league’s third worse expected score against at 106.4 points per game, according to Wheelo Ratings.
The Swans have put up consecutive 100+ point scores despite lacking a gun key forward and also leaked 100 points to the freewheeling Bombers last week.
Opening month day games at the MCG have gone over at 59% since 2021 including seven of eleven Richmond games.
On a perfect Autumn day at the home of footy, expect these teams to pile on the points.
Same Game Multi
With such an even spread of contributors, it can be hard to pick Sydney players for a same game multi but with Richmond missing Prestia, Hopper and Martin in the guts, expect the Swans mids to dominate.
Heeney is in Brownlow Medal contention off three exceptional games to start 2024. He should have 25+ for the fourth straight week. Chad Warner has also cleared 25 in each of his games.
Logan McDonald should be good for 2+ goals against an inexperienced Richmond defence that really struggled to curtail Port’s key forwards last week.
Value Bets
We saw McDonald take advantage of a disorganised Collingwood defence in Round 1, getting out the back for some easy ‘Joe the Goose’ goals in a four-goal performance. Against an even more disorganised Richmond backline, the West Australian could cash in again.
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