Two injury-ravaged sides destined for a bottom-four finish collide at the MCG on Saturday afternoon in one of the most uninspiring match-ups of the round.
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Best Bet
The under is about the only way to play this one.
Richmond simply cannot score. The Tigers have posted just 71, 60 and 43 points in their first three games and seven of their last eight have gone under the total. Since the start of 2025, 18 of their 26 games have gone under. For this total to be threatened, Port would need to put on a big number, and they have been wildly inconsistent, scoring 67 against North and 133 against a woeful Essendon.
Injuries have gutted both sides. Port arrive without Rozee, Bergman, Marshall, Ratugolea and Powell-Pepper, leaving serious big gaps in their structure and cohesion. Richmond are missing Lynch and Nankervis, two of their most experienced players, leaving 14 Tigers with fewer than 50 games under their belt. Neither of these teams looks capable of putting together four consistent quarters of football right now.
Back the under and hope for a hideous mess of a game.
Same Game Multi
Richmond have struggled badly to contain key forwards all season and Mitch Georgiades has kicked three or more goals in four of five games when Port are the favourite.
Corey Durdin has kicked two goals in three straight games and should find Richmond’s undermanned defence equally accommodating. Jack Ross has had 20 or more disposals in seven straight games at the MCG and is one of Richmond’s few reliable ball-winners right now.
Value Bet
Jack Whitlock looked terrific last week against West Coast, kicking three goals in an impressive performance. With Miller and Broad likely to be assigned to Georgiades and Lukosius, Whitlock could find himself with a very favourable match-up and plenty of space to work with.
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