AFL Tips – Richmond v Geelong – Round 24 2025

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Best Bet

Geelong -60.5

Line

$1.90

Richmond conceded 135 points to North last week. They could give up 235 this week against Geelong.

In the last ten weeks, the Tigers have lost to the 16th-placed Roos by 48, the Suns by 84, the Crows by 68, the Dogs by 79 and the Cats by 73 — after trailing by 72 at three-quarter time.

Their average score against top-eight teams in 2025 is just 56 points. Are the Cats likely to beat that tally by 60+? History says yes.

Geelong have obliterated bottom-six sides this year, covering the line in six of seven, winning by an average of 68 points and averaging 124 points themselves in those games.

The numbers are brutal for Richmond. They’ve failed to cover in 9 of their last 12 after a loss, 19 of 22 day games following a loss and three of four against top-four teams.

Geelong by plenty.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -60.5, B.Smith & M.Holmes 30+ Disposals, S.Mannagh 2+ Goals

$4.75

As below, Sheezel and LDU racked up 94 touches combined against this Richmond midfield last week. Geelong’s star duo should rack them up too.

Shaun Mannagh has kicked three in each of his last two games.

Value Bet

B.Smith & M.Holmes 35+

Same Game Multi

$4.10

The Roos mids went nuts last week with Sheezel racking up 54 and LDU 40. This looks a good price for Geelong’s two star mids to fill their boots.

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