AFL Tips – Richmond v Collingwood – Round 20 2025

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Best Bet

Under 155.5 Points

Total Points

$1.90

With wet weather forecast, the under looks the play in this one.

Over 70% of games played in wet conditions since 2010 have gone under, with an average total of just 136 points.

Backing the under in Richmond games at the MCG in 2025 has been a profitable play, with eight of ten falling short of the total. The average total has been just 142 points, largely due to the Tigers scoring only 61 points per game in those matches.

This week they face the AFL’s second-best defence, which concedes just 69 points per game on average, dropping to 63 points against bottom-six teams. The Pies are only ranked sixth for points scored against bottom-ten teams, so they are unlikely to contribute enough to push this total over, especially in wet conditions.

With six of Collingwood’s last seven day games also going under, expect a low-scoring start to Sunday footy.

Same Game Multi

Under 154.5 Points, J.Daicos & J.Hopper 25+ Disposals, S.Pendlebury 20+ Disposals

$5.25

Richmond never tag so Josh Daicos should be free to run wild. He’s had 25+ in eight of his last nine (and 24 in the other).

Wet weather should mean more contests which is music to the ears of Jacob Hopper. He’s had 25+ in four straight.

Scott Pendlebury has had 20+ in 11 straight against Richmond.

Value Bet

Under 130.5 Points

Alternate Total

$3.85

Prior to their big win over West Coast last week, Richmond had failed to score more than 56 points in five straight, with two scores of 36 and 46 in there too. If they are unable to score against this strong a defensive team, and the rain keeps Collingwood’s scoring down, then this could be a real grind.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.