AFL Tips – Richmond v Adelaide – Round 16 2025

The Crows will be hunting a percentage booster on Sunday when they take on the Tigers at the MCG.

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Best Bet

Adelaide -38.5

Line

$1.90

This could get very ugly.

The Crows have been ruthless against weaker opposition in 2025. They’ve won all eight games against bottom ten teams, covering the line in six, with an average winning margin of 54 points. In the past month alone, they’ve smashed the Swans by 90 and the Eagles by 66.

Adelaide also respond well after a loss. They’ve covered in 15 of their last 16 day games following a defeat and five of their last six when favoured after a loss.

Richmond’s recent form against top eight teams has been dismal. They were thrashed by 65 points against Hawthorn and lost by 79 to the Bulldogs last week. The MCG hasn’t offered much comfort either, with the Tigers covering in just one of their last five games at the venue.

While Richmond have a good recent record against Adelaide, covering in four of the last five meetings, this is surprisingly their first clash at the MCG since 2018. Adelaide have handled the ground well, covering in five of their last six games there.

With the Crows also covering in five of six games off the bye, expect them to pile on the pain against Richmond.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide -38.5, D.Fogarty & J.Rachelle 2+ Goals, D.Prestia 20+ Disposals

TBC

We’ll look to the goal-kickers with our confidence in Adelaide.

Josh Rachelle has kicked 2+ in four of five against bottom four teams and five straight when his side are favourites.

Darcy Fogarty has kicked 2+ in four straight against Richmond.

Dion Prestia has had 20+ in nine of his last ten (and 19 in the other).

Value Bet

Adelaide 73+

Margin

$5.00

The Crows have five 60+ point wins in 2025 and are more than capable of putting a massive gap on the Tigers. This and some bigger margins up to 100+ look to be great bets.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.