AFL Tips – Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs – Round 17 2024

Port Adelaide Power vs Western Bulldogs - AFL Tips

The Dogs are favoured when they travel to the Adelaide Oval to play the Power on Saturday afternoon.

Best Bet

Western Bulldogs -2.5
Line

The Dogs are more frustrating than a Christmas present without batteries but they should be too good for the Power, who have been awful of late.

Western have the second best percentage in the league but still find themselves out of the Top 8 with an 8-7 win loss record.

They are capable of being thumped by Brisbane one week, then bouncing back and smashing Fremantle the next.

Nevertheless they play Port at the right time. Yes, the Power finally got back in the winners stall last week but there was no solace to be taken from that atrocity of a game, Ken Hinkley’s tears notwithstanding.

The Dogs midfield brigade is absolutely humming at present, while the Power’s prime movers are simply too inconsistent, and their forwards are badly out of form.

Back the away side in this one.

Insights

🏟️ Port Adelaide at Home Performance: In the last 9 games at home, Port Adelaide has only achieved 2 covers, indicating struggles at home.

🔄 Port Adelaide Off a Win: In the last 9 games following a win, Port Adelaide has only achieved 2 covers, highlighting inconsistency.

🔝 Western Bulldogs vs. Top 8 Teams: In the last 8 games against top 8 teams, 7 total unders have been achieved, showing strong defensive matches.


Same Game Multi

Bulldogs -2.5, Treloar 30+, Dale 25+, Farrell 20+ Disposals

Adam Treloar has had a couple of quieter weeks but if the Power are to lock down on anyone it will be Bont. Ads is well capable of bouncing back here.

Bailey Dale has cleared 25 in four straight.

Kane Farrell has been in great ball winning form, with 24 or more in his last three.


Value Bet

Bulldogs 40+
Margin

The market doesn’t seem to be factoring in how poorly Port are playing and when the Dogs are up and about, they can score as much as anyone. This one could easily be a blowout.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.