
A nasty betting game to close Round 17 at Adelaide Oval on Sunday with Port Adelaide hosting a North Melbourne side that has never won at the venue from 14 attempts.
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Best Bet
Both teams are hard to trust but the strongest trend points firmly to the under.
Josh Carr has prioritised defence all year and it shows in Port’s totals, with 11 of their 15 games going under including six of seven when they are favourites. Excluding games against top-eight teams, their last eight have all gone under with an average of 164 points.
North have been leaking goals all year but appear to have shifted their focus to defence over the last three games, producing hideous game totals of 147, 121 and 144 points.
Neither of these teams are built to light up the scoreboard against each other so this could be really ugly.
Take the under.
Same Game Multi
Hard to back a team to win who are 0-14 at a venue, so Port get the nod.
Both teams suppress almost everything and this should be a low-disposal game, but both are also ordinary against key forwards.
Georgiades has kicked two or more goals in all four of his games against North while Cooper Trembath is averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five weeks and kicked three against Port in Round 1.
Value Bet
Jacob Konstanty has looked more dangerous over the last two weeks with Paul Curtis out of the team, kicking 1.1 and 2.1. He has now kicked two or more in two of his last five games and Port are a reasonable match-up for small forwards.
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