AFL Tips – Port Adelaide v Hawthorn – Semi Final 2024

Power vs Hawks - AFL Tips

The Hawk juggernaut can hand the Power a straight sets finals exit on Friday night at the Adelaide Oval.

Best Bet

Hawthorn -8.5
Line

The Hawks are playing irresistible football at the moment and look well placed to continue that run against the Power.

Port’s defensive stocks have been further depleted by the injury to Ryan Burton who joins Dan Houston and Kane Farrell on the sidelines.

The Power were torn up by the Cats small forwards last week as Gryan Miers, Tyson Stengle and Shaun Mannagh kicked eight goals between them.

Hawthorn is a horrible match up with their small forwards including Jack Ginnivan, Nick Watson and Connor Macdonald coming into this one in red hot form.

The Hawks were far tougher and harder than the Dogs last week, dominating the tackle count and doing a brilliant job of restricting the Dogs ball movement from end to end.

Again, without Houston and Farrell to give them drive off half back, the Power will struggle to move the ball and will be ripe picks for the Hawks manic defence.

Port pipped the Hawks by one point when these sides met in Round 10, but Hawthorn are playing far better football this time.

Chips in the Hawks.

INSIGHTS

🔥 Hawthorn Away: Hawthorn has covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 away games. 📈

    💪 Hawthorn Favourites: In their last 9 games as favourites, Hawthorn has covered 8 times. ✅

      📈 Hawthorn vs Top 4 Teams: 7 of Hawthorn’s last 9 games against top 4 teams have gone over the total. 🚀


        Same Game Multi

        Hawthorn -8.5, Newcombe 25+, Evans 20+ Disposals

        Gun midfielder Newcombe has gone to a new level in recent weeks, with 30 or more disposals in his last three.

        Logan Evans split the kick in duties with Ryan Burton last week, he may not take all of them but he should take most for the power.


        Value Bet

        Hawthorn 40+
        Margin

        The Hawks aren’t just beating teams of late – they are destroying them. If Port produce another insipid effort like last week this could get well out of hand.

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        Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.