AFL Tips - Port Adelaide v Geelong

Port and Geelong meet on Saturday at Adelaide Oval with each team coming off a defeat last weekend.

Best Bet

Over 179.5 Points

Total Points

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$1.90

The over is always a good starting point at Adelaide Oval, and that holds true for this match-up.

Since the start of 2023, 59% of games at this ground have gone over the total. When you remove night games, that number rises to 61.2%, with Port matches averaging 181 points.

Geelong have played six games at Adelaide Oval in that time, and every one has gone over, averaging a huge 198 points. Earlier this season they were involved in a 219-point shootout against Adelaide at the same venue.

This fixture has also delivered high scores, with the last five meetings all going over the total and averaging 190 points.

With both teams showing patchy form over the past month, the over looks like the safest option.

Same Game Multi

Over 179.5 Points, O.Dempsey, T.Stengle & S.Mannagh Anytime Goal

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TBC

A big total here means goals.

Tyson Stengle has kicked four in each of his last two games against Port. Shaun Mannagh has kicked 2+ in three of his last four and kicked three in his only game against Port. Ollie Dempsey has kicked two in each of his last five.

We’ll go one for each of this trio but you could easily add some 2+’s in there for some extra value.

Value Bet

Geelong 40+

Margin

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$5.00

Port have been smacked twice this year, once against the Pies (currently ranked 2nd) and the Dogs (6th). The Cats haven’t dealt out a belting since Round 1 but they beat the Power at this venue by 84 points in their most recent meeting.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.