AFL Tips – Port Adelaide v Essendon – Round 11 2022

There is no case to be made for Essendon

Best Bet

Port Adelaide -35.5

Essendon’s lamentable 2022 can continue against an improved Power outfit.

Port Adelaide are far from the high flying side they were in 2021. But no side – perhaps excluding West Coast – has fallen as far as the Bombers in 2022.

Ben Rutten’s side can boast only two wins from ten games. Their betting record is even worse, having covered just once from ten matches.

The Power’s resurgence has been driven by an improvement in their defence and the adoption of a high possession gameplan that sees them avoid risky play through the corridor.

As a result, they have only conceded an average of 54.4 points per game across the last five rounds.

What they have lacked is efficiency inside 50, having scored a goal from only 20.2% of their inside 50s, the second lowest rate in the competition.

However, against the Bombers porous backline, and with big Charlie Dixon back down forward, the Power should be capable of putting up plenty of points.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Port -35.5, Under 143.5, C. Dixon 2+ Goals

With some rain around the under looks a strong play as well. Big Charlie is sure to be targeted early and often on his return for the Power. The Bombers are ranked 17th in the league for defending one on one contests this season.

Value Bet

Ollie Wines
35+ Disposals

Wines has been in great form over the last five weeks and had 38 against the Bombers last season.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.