AFL Tips – Port Adelaide v Adelaide – Round 9 2025

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Best Bet

Adelaide -15.5

Line

$1.90

We’re all over the Crows here.

Matty Nicks’ team have been a good bet in recent Showdowns, covering the line in five of the last seven. They’ve also been money at Adelaide Oval this year, covering the line in four of five – with the one miss just three points off the line.

Port continue to be an awful bet against good opposition, only covering the line in 13 of their last 36 against top six teams.

They are particularly struggling around the pill this year, sitting bottom two for clearance and contested possession differential. The Crows, meanwhile, are top six for both stats.

Port will be without Willie Rioli this week, who is one of five changes for Ken Hinkley’s team. Adelaide replace Brodie Smith with Mitch Hinge.

Port are a far cry from the finals contender of the past few seasons and it’s hard to see them getting close to their bitter rival on Saturday.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide -15.5, D.Fogarty & I.Rankine 2+ Goals

TBC

The Fog has kicked 2+ in four straight Showdowns, while Izak Rankine has booted 12 goals in his last four against Port

Value Bet

Adelaide 40+

Margin

$3.90

Contrary to popular belief, Showdowns have not been close lately, with an average margin of 39 points in the last five. Three of the Crows’ five wins have been by 40+ points and this could easily be another.

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