AFL Tips – North Melbourne v Sydney – Round 4 2025

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Best Bet

North Melbourne +10.5

Line

$1.90

North’s sensational record at Marvel makes them a great bet here.

The Roos have covered the line in eight of their last nine matches, winning three.

Sydney’s big issue here will be their ability to score without arguably their best forward in Tom Papley, who is out for up to two months. Dean Cox’s side have scored just 68, 82 and 76 points through three rounds.

The average winning score at Marvel through eight games this season is 104 points, and while the Kangas are still vulnerable defensively, they now have some legitimate firepower up forward, averaging 100 points a game in 2025.

Sydney will have to keep this tight to win, and even if they can, North should kick a big enough score to get within a couple of kicks.

Same Game Multi

North Melbourne +10.5, J.Simpkin 25+ Disposals, C.McKercher 15+ Disposals, P.Curtis 2+ Goals

TBC

North have dropped Phillips from their midfield rotation which should mean more midfield time for Jy Simpkin. He’s had 25+ in three of his last four.

Paul Curtis has kicked eight goals in three games this year.

Colby McKercher has had 15+ touches in 14 straight games.

Value Bet

North Melbourne 25+ Points

Margin

$5.00

The Roos blew the Dees, another offensively struggling team, off the park two weeks ago at Marvel. Sydney are coming off a six-day break after a trip to Perth and could be vulnerable here.

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