The Kangas are an underrated betting prospect in their adopted home and can keep this close on Sunday.
Best Bet
North Melbourne +28.5 ($1.90)
Backing North to do anything in 2022 is fraught with danger but we cannot ignore their brilliant record on the Apple Isle.
The Roos cover at a remarkable 74% in Hobart over the last decade. They’ve cleared the line in the last six as well as their last six as 18+ point outsiders.
Blundstone Arena is an unusual venue which can throw up some odd results. Strong winds off the coast can lead to wild swings in momentum as a ‘scoring end’ develops.
As $13.00 outsiders against Melbourne in Round 7 last year, North incredibly led by 19 points at half time before going down by 30. Back in 2017, they led 64-0 at quarter time against an unbeaten Adelaide after piling on 10 opening quarter goals.
The Cats much-lauded defence is struggling lately, conceding the second-most points from opponent’s inside 50s over the last month. On paper, they have the talent and experience to easily account for North, but we’ll back the outsiders to keep this within five goals.
Same Game Multi
Geelong 1-39 pts / J.Selwood & L.Davies-Uniacke 20+ Disposals / T.Stengle 2+ Goals ($6.75)
Chris Scott continues to throw the magnets around in his midfield, but the skipper has been the Cats’ most reliable disposal bet in 2022, clearing 20+ in each game. LDU has done the same for the Roos.
Value Bets
T.Stengle 3+ Goals ($4.33)
North really struggle with small forwards. They’ve conceded multiple goals in 2022 to Cody Weightman (5 goals), Zac Bailey (5), Lincoln McCarthy (4) and Willie Rioli (4). We’ll be having a crack at 4+ at 11s as well.
