Expect a low scoring contest at the home of football
Best Bet
Under 161.5 Total Match Points ($1.90)
The Dees are a defensive juggernaut and with St Kilda being much improved in this area, the under looks a very worthy bet.
The Dees continue to struggle to find a forward setup that works, and with St Kilda being the second ranked since in the comp (behind the Dees) for conceding scores from opponent inside 50s, there is no guarantee their forward line will all of a sudden click into gear.
The Saints defence has been excellent against key forwards, as they also rank in the top two (behind Melbourne) for conceding marks inside their defensive 50.
Dees games have gone under 10 out of 16 times at the MCG in the last two years.
Same Game Multi
Under 161.5 / Dees 1-39 / C. Oliver 30+ Disposals ($4.75)
The Demons should be able to win but in what shapes as a close game, the 1-39 looks like a worthy play. Oliver is in irresistable form and winning plenty of footy both inside and out at present.
Value Bet
Top Goal Scorer: Bayley Fritsch ($5.80)
Both sides are excellent at covering the tall timber so that should create some opportunities for Fritsch, who is a capable threat both off the ground and as a leading forward.
