Melbourne host St Kilda at the MCG on Sunday afternoon in what shapes as one of the more difficult games of the round to assess.
Featured Betting Sites
🔥JUST LAUNCHED! March 2026Exclusive Code: SEEKER500
🆕 New Betting Site - Feb 2026Exclusive Code: BET500
🔬 RaceLabs Insights built inExclusive Code: SEEKER500
🔥 Just launched February 2026Exclusive Code: SEEKER500
🦘 Ripper odds, ripper site!Exclusive Code: SEEKER500
💸 Social betting + super fast withdrawalsExclusive Code: SEEKER500
🏉 Great AFL/NRL odds + SGMsExclusive Code: SEEKER500
🏇 Best of 3 Tote oddsExclusive Code: NOVA500
📋 Racing toolkit + form guideExclusive Code: SEEKER500
🛠️ Best multi builder + LiveYard formUse Code: WELCOME
📈 Competitive sports + racing oddsExclusive Code: SEEKER500
⭐ Top-rated betting siteExclusive Code: SEEKER500
🖥️ Punterstech platform + fast payoutsExclusive Code: SEEKER500
Imagine what you could be buying instead.
Set a deposit limit.
Best Bet
This shapes as one of the toughest betting games of the round, so taking the outsider with the start makes sense.
Double-digit favourites cover only 63% of the time in Round 1 and around 70% at the MCG, making the points attractive in the opening week when so much remains uncertain.
The underdog has also covered the line in 10 straight St Kilda matches, while Melbourne have historically started seasons well, covering in five straight Round 1 games as well as four of their last five matches at the MCG.
The Saints were underwhelming against Collingwood last week. They generated enough inside 50s but struggled to convert their opportunities. Melbourne, meanwhile, looked refreshed during preseason under new coach Steven King.
There is also encouraging news on the injury front for the Dees, with Jai Culley, Brody Mihocek and Bayley Fritsch all expected to play, so back them to remain close here.
Same Game Multi
Caleb Windsor looks set for a larger midfield role this season. He recorded the most centre bounce attendances for Melbourne in their preseason match against Richmond and had already collected 15 disposals before the game was called off in the third quarter.
Kysaiah Pickett was also in frightening form during preseason. He tends to lift when Melbourne start as underdogs and has kicked two or more goals in nine of his last 10 matches in that situation.
Mitch Owens rounds out the multi after kicking a goal in seven of his last eight games.
Value Bet
Collingwood’s midfielders had enormous success against St Kilda last week, with the Daicos brothers both collecting more than 35 disposals.
With Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver no longer at the club and Jack Viney sidelined, there are plenty of midfield disposals up for grabs at Melbourne.
Windsor already showed signs of stepping into a larger role during preseason and if that trend continues, the 25+ line looks very achievable.
