A top-six shaping contest at the MCG on Friday night with Melbourne’s extraordinary home record making them hard to oppose against the Cats.
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Best Bet
Have to stick with Melbourne given their hot form at the MCG.
The Dees have won all nine games at the home of football this year, covering the line in each. There are some good wins in there too with Hawthorn and Brisbane among the scalps – these have not all been gimmes.
Geelong bounced back with a win over St Kilda at home last week but had won only one of seven previously, losing to quality teams in Adelaide, Fremantle, Brisbane and the unpredictable Giants.
The Cats lose some serious star power with Max Holmes likely done for the year and Shaun Mannagh under an injury cloud, though Mark Blicavs, Jake Kolodjashnij and Jack Martin all return after being managed. Melbourne lose Daniel Turner but should regain Harry Petty.
Ride the Dees’ heater at the MCG.
Same Game Multi
Jack Steele won’t attract any tag and has had 25 or more disposals in four of his last five home games.
Max Gawn will dominate young Mitch Edwards and has had 20 or more disposals in six of his last seven games. He should hit the scoreboard too.
Value Bet
No team has given up more disposals and goals to opposition ruckmen than Geelong over the last five weeks. Gawn has kicked two in two of his last five games and this match-up is as good as it gets for the Melbourne skipper.
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